Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.079755 0.085566 0.091623 0.098416 0.105831 0.113691 0.122664
2025-11-23 0.068079 0.076506 0.085798 0.096845 0.109670 0.124152 0.141827
2025-11-30 0.061404 0.071564 0.083280 0.097878 0.115709 0.136944 0.164388
2025-12-07 0.054630 0.065492 0.078461 0.095237 0.116583 0.143134 0.179128
2025-12-14 0.048665 0.059681 0.073209 0.091252 0.115001 0.145642 0.188910
2025-12-21 0.044856 0.056137 0.070346 0.089830 0.116285 0.151596 0.203411
2025-12-28 0.042727 0.054507 0.069705 0.091108 0.121056 0.162382 0.225377
2026-01-04 0.040698 0.052816 0.068789 0.091832 0.124975 0.172136 0.246636
2026-01-11 0.038409 0.050592 0.066957 0.091069 0.126607 0.178589 0.263402
2026-01-18 0.036528 0.048788 0.065551 0.090749 0.128761 0.185853 0.281979
2026-01-25 0.034451 0.046576 0.063413 0.089174 0.128845 0.189861 0.295556
2026-02-01 0.032306 0.044144 0.060808 0.086705 0.127328 0.191151 0.304595
2026-02-08 0.030532 0.042191 0.058840 0.085147 0.127232 0.194885 0.318551
2026-02-15 0.028911 0.040384 0.056995 0.083667 0.127162 0.198671 0.333063
2026-02-22 0.028027 0.039612 0.056643 0.084476 0.130839 0.209004 0.360583
2026-03-01 0.026450 0.037720 0.054480 0.082248 0.129270 0.210116 0.370811
2026-03-08 0.024721 0.035519 0.051734 0.078906 0.125559 0.207117 0.372677
2026-03-15 0.023622 0.034234 0.050348 0.077711 0.125459 0.210572 0.387709
2026-03-22 0.023112 0.033834 0.050330 0.078782 0.129389 0.221721 0.419736
2026-03-29 0.022533 0.033295 0.050055 0.079389 0.132510 0.231586 0.450248
2026-04-05 0.021728 0.032362 0.049096 0.078749 0.133289 0.236970 0.471612
2026-04-12 0.021049 0.031600 0.048376 0.078481 0.134724 0.243740 0.496893
2026-04-19 0.020203 0.030534 0.047105 0.077160 0.134064 0.246213 0.512505